Peter Lynch Chart Excel Download ((INSTALL))
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With this simple, yet powerful rule, Peter Lynch could avoid selling positions until a stock reached $30, while other investors thought the stock was overpriced, sold, and often watched the share price plummet.
5. As you can see in the chart below, many charts have the same rules – just different colored lines. In this chart, we added a red line on top of the blue one to indicate that the moving average line is 100% aligned to the stock price line.
In the last few years, my team at ValueCharts has created a new chart, the series of cumulative net change in share price that shows how much a stock has gained or lost in relation to the stock price. The chart we call the “Share price utility chart” is a new powerful tool.
The goal of the chart is to find stocks that are trading at bargain prices, relative to their earnings. If one can find such a stock, it has a chance of outperforming the stock market in the long run. The trick is to identify these stocks before the public does. That’s how to beat the crowd. And it is not as difficult as it sounds. All you have to do is analyze the chart carefully and understand how it works. Then, when the chart develops a pattern, you will know it is time to buy.
If the stock chart is moving up, the rule to buy is the same as buying any other stock. The only difference is that you must buy the bargain stocks at a significant discount to their average earnings. An earnings discount of 50% or more—a ratio of current earnings to the average of the historical earnings—is usually sufficient to indicate that you are buying a stock on the way up.
If the chart is flattening out, the rule is to sell. Unless you have a special reason for buying that stock, you should wait for it to climb back up to its previous high. A stock that has lost all its gains in one year or two is a tough sell because it is probably involved in an accelerating decline. There might be a good reason why the stock is falling, but it is not yours to worry about.
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